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“Experts now know that human activities—such as burning coal to produce electricity or gasoline to fuel our cars—produce a layer of air pollutants that allows the rays from the sun to come in but does not let excess heat go back out. So, pumping carbon dioxide (CO2) and other heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere creates something like a blanketing effect: Heat that would normally radiate out into space just can’t get out. As a result, temperatures go up, causing other climate changes and creating other problems all over the world.”

—Explaining Global Warming: The Human Connection. A science primer prepared by the Union of Concerned Scientists, November 2002

Above: NACC/USGCP Graphic.

Global warming, a result of “the greenhouse effect,” is caused by a manmade blanket of carbon dioxide that surrounds the earth and traps heat.


Energy efficiency makes sense for a whole world of reasons. Global climate change may be the most important reason, but because the scale of the forces involved are so enormous it can be hard to understand how our personal behavior can possibly have a global impact. But that’s what science and observation are telling us.

Creating a Climate of Change
Motivated by the desire to create a positive future for their children and all life, Ventura County residents along with people all over the world are working to implement solutions to the climate change challenge.

Ventura County Actions

Ventura’s Town Hall Meeting on Global Warming. On October 24, 2006, a handful of residents, with support from the city of Ventura, organized a Town Hall Meeting on global warming, held at the Century 10 Downtown Theater in Ventura. The theater was filled to capacity, with people standing in the back. Over 300 people attended the event. The program opened with brief remarks from Ventura City Manager Rick Cole, Ventura County Supervisor Steve Bennett, and Dave Davis of the Community Environmental Council, but the evening’s main speakers were local citizens They spoke thoughtfully and with passion about what they were doing in their own lives to reduce carbon emissions, and they offered their ideas for what should be done in the larger community. Local organizations and companies offered exhibits providing relevant resources and information.


VCCool: Ventura Climate Care Options Organized Locally. The momentum created by the Town Hall Meeting on Global Warming served to launch a local group, called VCCool (Ventura Climate Care Options Organized Locally). This nonprofit, which serves all of Ventura County, coordinates community events, maintains an informational website, and sends out regular newsletters to members—all designed to further the recommended actions from the Town Hall Meeting. More information at: http://vccool.org/.


Board of Supervisors Looking into a Climate Action Plan.
On December 5, 2006, the Ventura County Board of Supervisors directed the County’s Executive Officer (CEO) to report back to the Board on the costs, timeline, and funding opportunities for preparing a 2007 Climate Change Action Plan. The CEO’s report will also outline the actions already taken by county agencies to reduce emissions and will make recommendations for actions for the Board consider in the near future. Other aspects for implementing the plan, such as funding, public education, and overlap with the Air Pollution Control District, will be included.

Climate Action Plans, which have already been prepared by a number of California cities and counties, outline a strategy for a local government to most efficiently and effectively reduce its greenhouse gas emissions. These plans generally start with an emissions inventory in order to establish a baseline emissions number. An emissions reduction goal is then established, and an action plan is developed which outlines specific strategies to achieve that goal. Once these strategies are implemented, emissions are monitored to determine effectiveness.

State Actions

AB 1493. California Assembly Bill 1493 (Pavley) enacted on July 22, 2002, required the California Air Resources Board (CARB) to develop and adopt regulations that reduce greenhouse gases emitted by passenger vehicles and light-duty trucks. Regulations adopted by CARB will apply to 2009 and later model year vehicles. CARB estimates that the regulation will reduce climate change emissions from light-duty passenger vehicle fleet by an estimated 18% in 2020 and by 27% in 2030 (CARB 2004).

GHG Emission Reduction Targets (Executive Order S-3-05) California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger announced on June 1, 2005, through Executive Order S-3-05, greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets as follows: By 2010, reduce GHG emissions to 2000 levels; by 2020, reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels; by 2050, reduce GHG emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels. Some literature equates these reductions to 11 percent by 2010 and 25 percent by 2020.

AB 32, the California Global Warming Solutions Act. In 2006, the California State Legislature adopted AB 32, the California Global Warming Solutions Act. AB 32 set in place the nation’s first economy-wide global warming emissions reduction program. The act requires CARB, the state agency charged with regulating statewide air quality, to adopt rules and regulations that would achieve greenhouse gas emissions equivalent to statewide levels in 1990 by 2020—approximately a 25% reduction.

On or before June 30, 2007, CARB was required to publish a list of discrete greenhouse gas emission reduction measures that can be implemented. Emission reductions shall include carbon sequestration projects and best management practices that are technologically feasible and cost-effective. Greenhouse gases as defined under AB 32 include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride.

AB 32 requires that by January 1, 2008, the state board shall determine what the statewide
greenhouse gas emissions level was in 1990, and approve a statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit that is equivalent to that level, to be achieved by 2020.

Executive Order S-01-07. Executive Order S-01-07 was enacted by the Governor on January 18, 2007. Essentially, the order mandates the following: 1) that a statewide goal be established to reduce the carbon intensity of California's transportation fuels by at least 10 percent by 2020; and 2) that a Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) for transportation fuels be established for California.

National Actions

U.S. Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement. So far, over 500 mayors representing more than 50 million Americans have signed the U.S. Mayors Climate Protection Agreement. Under the agreement, participating cities commit to take following actions:

  • Strive to meet or beat the Kyoto Protocol targets in their own communities, through actions ranging from anti-sprawl land-use policies to urban forest restoration projects to public information campaigns;
  • Urge their state governments, and the federal government, to enact policies and programs to meet or beat the greenhouse gas emission reduction target suggested for the United States in the Kyoto Protocol—7% reduction from 1990 levels by 2012; and
  • Urge the U.S. Congress to pass the bipartisan greenhouse gas reduction legislation, which would establish a national emission trading system.

International Actions

Kyoto Protocol. The United States joined other countries around the world in signing the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The UNFCCC was entered on March 21, 1994. Under the convention, governments:

  • Gather and share information on greenhouse gas emissions, national policies, and best practices;
  • Launch national strategies for addressing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to expected impacts, including the provision of financial and technological support to developing countries; and
  • Cooperate in preparing for adaptation to the impacts of climate change.

The Kyoto Protocol is a treaty made under the UNFCCC. Countries can sign the treaty to demonstrate their commitment to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases or engage in emissions trading. More than 160 countries, 55% of global emissions, are under the protocol. U.S. Vice President Al Gore symbolically signed the protocol in 1998. However, in order for the protocol to be formally adopted, or ratified, it must be adopted by the legislature, which was not done during the Clinton Administration. The current President, George W. Bush, has indicated that he does not intend to submit the treaty for ratification.

IPCC. In 1988, the United Nations and the World Meteorological Organization established the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to assess “the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts, and options for adaptation and mitigation.”

Through the IPCC, climate experts from around the world synthesize the most recent climate science findings every five to seven years and present their report to the world’s political leaders. The IPCC has issued comprehensive assessments in 1990, 1996, and 2001; its Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) was released in 2007.

AR4 is the most comprehensive synthesis of climate change science to date. Experts from more than 130 countries contributed to this assessment, which represents six years of work. More than 450 lead authors have received input from more than 800 contributing authors, and an additional 2,500 experts reviewed the draft documents.


A “Summary for Policymakers” document was prepared by the Working Group I part of the IPCC’s AR4. Below are a few excerpts from various sections of this report:

Human and Natural Drivers of Climate Change
Carbon dioxide is the most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas. The global atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide has increased from a pre-industrial value of about 280 ppm to 379 ppm in 2005. The atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide in 2005 exceeds by far the natural range over the last 650,000 years (180 to 300 ppm) as determined from ice cores.

Direct Observations of Recent Climate Change
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.

  • Eleven of the last 12 years (1995–2006) rank among the 12 warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature (since 1850).
  • Mountain glaciers and snow cover have declined on average in both hemispheres. Widespread decreases in glaciers and ice caps have contributed to sea level rise (ice caps do not include contributions from the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets).
  • Global average sea level rose at an average rate of 1.8 [1.3 to 2.3] mm per year over 1961 to 2003. The rate was faster over 1993 to 2003: about 3.1 [2.4 to 3.8] mm per year.

At continental, regional, and ocean basin scales, numerous long-term changes in climate have been observed. These include changes in arctic temperatures and ice, widespread changes in precipitation amounts, ocean salinity, wind patterns and aspects of extreme weather including droughts, heavy precipitation, heat waves, and the intensity of tropical cyclones.

  • More intense and longer droughts have been observed over wider areas since the 1970s, particularly in the tropics and subtropics. Increased drying linked with higher temperatures and decreased precipitation has contributed to changes in drought. Changes in sea surface temperatures, wind patterns, and decreased snowpack and snow cover have also been linked to droughts.
  • The frequency of heavy precipitation events has increased over most land areas, consistent with warming and observed increases of atmospheric water vapor.Widespread changes in extreme temperatures have been observed over the last 50 years. Cold days, cold nights, and frost have become less frequent, while hot days, hot nights, and heat waves have become more frequent.

Consequences

In 2005, the State of California produced a document entitled “Our

Changing Climate: Assessing the Risks to California.” The document, prepared for CalEPA, was the product of collaboration among the California Air Resources Board, California Department of Water Resources, California Energy Commission, CalEPA, and the Union of Concerned Scientists. Below are a few excerpts from that document:

Public Health
Continued global warming will affect Californians’ health by exacerbating air pollution, intensifying heat waves, and expanding the range of infectious diseases. The primary concern is not so much the change in average climate but the projected increase in extreme conditions, which pose the most serious health risks.

Water Resources
Rising temperatures, potentially compounded by decreases in precipitation, could severely reduce spring snowpack, increasing the risk of summer water shortages.

If heat-trapping emissions continue unabated, more precipitation will fall as rain instead of snow, and the snow that does fall will melt earlier, reducing the Sierra Nevada spring snowpack by as much as 70 to 90 percent.

Agricultural areas could be hard hit, with California farmers losing as much as 25 percent of the water supply they need.

Water supplies are also at risk from rising sea levels…. Saltwater intrusion would threaten the quality and reliability of the major state fresh water supply that is pumped from the southern edge of the Sacramento/San Joaquin River Delta.

Agriculture
California farmers will face greater water demand for crops and a less reliable water supply as temperatures rise. Crop growth and development will change, as will the intensity and frequency of pest and disease outbreaks. Rising temperatures will likely aggravate ozone pollution, which makes plants more susceptible to disease and pests and interferes with plant growth. This could increase fruit development rates and decrease fruit size.

Continued climate change is likely to alter the abundance and types of many pests, lengthen pests’ breeding season, and increase pathogen growth rates.

Forests and Landscapes
If temperatures rise into the medium warming range, the risk of large wildfires in California could increase by as much as 55 percent, which is almost twice the increase expected if temperatures stay in the lower warming range.

Rising Sea Levels
During the past century, sea levels along California’s coast have risen about seven inches. If heat-trapping emissions continue unabated and temperatures rise into the higher warming range, sea level is expected to rise an additional 22 to 35 inches by the end of the century. Elevations of this magnitude would inundate coastal areas with salt water, accelerate coastal erosion, threaten vital levees and inland water systems, and disrupt wetlands and natural habitats.

The combination of increasingly severe winter storms, rising mean sea levels, and high tides is expected to cause more frequent and severe flooding, erosion, and damage to coastal structures.

Many of California’s beaches may shrink in the future because of rising seas and increased erosion from winter storms.

Our Changing Climate report
Click above to download full report.

"Because most global warming emissions remain in the atmosphere for decades or centuries, the choices we make today greatly influence the climate our children and grandchildren inherit.

The quality of life they experience will depend on if and how rapidly California and the rest of the world reduce these emissions."

 

—From the California Climate Change Center


Resources

Ventura Climate Care Options Organized Locally (VCCool)
http://vccool.org/

“Our Changing Climate” report, from the California Energy Commission’s Climate Change Center
www.climatechange.ca.gov/biennial_reports/2006report/index.html

“Summary for Policymakers” report, by the IPCC Working Group
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html

The California Climate Action Registry provides a standard procedure for inventorying greenhouse gas emissions, together with significant assistance in carrying it out.
www.climateregistry.org/

ICLEI (the International Council on Local Environmental Initiatives) offers the Cities for Climate Protection (CCP) campaign to assist cities in developing and implementing climate change action plans.
www.iclei.org/index.php?id=800

The United States Conference of Mayors has developed a U.S. Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement for participating cities.
www.usmayors.org/climateprotection/

The booklet “Low Carbon Diet—A 30-Day Program to Lose 500 Pounds” describes a step-by-step procedure for families to reduce their carbon footprint.
www.empowermentinstitute.net

UCSB’s Science and Technology Sources on the Internet: Global Warming and Climate Change Science:
www.library.ucsb.edu/istl/01-fall/internet.html

IPCC Summary for Policymakers
Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [B. Metz, O. R. Davidson, P.
R. Bosch, R. Dave, L. A. Meyer (eds)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and
New York, NY, USA.
www.ipcc.ch/SPM040507.pdf

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